0x1D4E771878fE8607f77CDA43808118f4a1Cf4aCc-1781252708316
0x1d4e771878fe8607f77cda43808118f4a1cf4acc
- Realised P&L
- $-14.6k
- Volume
- $166.7k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bonaire win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$1.46 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) · Spain | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Up | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: United States (-4.5) · United States | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: United States (-3.5) · United States | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) · Switzerland | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: Colombia (-4.5) · Colombia | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: France (-3.5) · France | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$308.13at 0.072Spread: Norway (-1.5)
- +$178.38at 0.625Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$175.29at 0.195Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$145.40at 0.496Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$129.18at 0.387Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 21:27 | Will Bonaire win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.0189999999 | $1.50 |
| 09-27 19:19 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.0088637028 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 19:04 | Will Israel win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $90.78 |
| 08-31 18:14 | Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-08-31? | BUY | 0.0299999928 | $3.95 |
| 07-12 12:18 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2099999952 | $32.19 |
| 07-12 12:17 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4199999995 | $350.00 |
| 07-11 23:36 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 23:36 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.25 | $150.00 |
| 07-11 23:08 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4149999963 | $65.00 |
| 07-11 23:05 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4174999977 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 20:31 | Spread: England (-5.5) | BUY | 0.0047172481 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 20:30 | Spread: England (-4.5) | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 20:28 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.60 |
| 07-11 20:27 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 14:06 | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | BUY | 0.0949999973 | $30.00 |