PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1D4E771878fE8607f77CDA43808118f4a1Cf4aCc-1781252708316

0x1d4e771878fe8607f77cda43808118f4a1cf4acc

Realised P&L
$-14.6k
Volume
$166.7k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$0.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bonaire win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.0190.001$0.04−$1.46
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Spain (-4.5) · Spain0.0600.000$0.00−$9.90
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$2.40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET · Up0.0150.000$0.00−$2.00
Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain0.2600.000$0.00−$12.00
Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$2.00
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 · Over0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: United States (-4.5) · United States0.0060.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: United States (-3.5) · United States0.1200.000$0.00−$4.00
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) · Switzerland0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Colombia (-4.5) · Colombia0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 21:27Will Bonaire win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.0189999999$1.50
09-27 19:19Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.0088637028$10.00
09-24 19:04Will Israel win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.1399999999$90.78
08-31 18:14Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-08-31?BUY0.0299999928$3.95
07-12 12:18Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.2099999952$32.19
07-12 12:17Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4199999995$350.00
07-11 23:36Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
07-11 23:36Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.25$150.00
07-11 23:08Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4149999963$65.00
07-11 23:05Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4174999977$100.00
07-11 20:31Spread: England (-5.5)BUY0.0047172481$1.00
07-11 20:30Spread: England (-4.5)BUY0.008999991$1.00
07-11 20:28Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?BUY0.016$1.60
07-11 20:27Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
07-11 14:06Spread: Norway (-1.5)BUY0.0949999973$30.00