PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1d4c0F98004368e677a46f0691d5f0B868869d4d-1769612206456

0x1d4c0f98004368e677a46f0691d5f0b868869d4d

Realised P&L
$-7.96
Volume
$932.53
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$136.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1130.125$99.34+$9.34
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.8900.957$23.96+$1.67
Will the next elected US president be a woman? · Yes0.1800.240$13.33+$3.33
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? · No0.2980.000$0.00−$12.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 22:12Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1319999998$80.00
07-19 21:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7469998588$1.00
06-25 06:44Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0529999951$10.00
06-25 06:43Will the next elected US president be a woman?BUY0.179999987$10.00
04-23 19:05Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?BUY0.8899999984$22.29
04-21 06:57Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2899999847$11.48
04-11 10:28Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7199999539$10.00