PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1d4c0F98004368e677a46f0691d5f0B868869d4d-1769612206456

0x1d4c0f98004368e677a46f0691d5f0b868869d4d

Realised P&L
$11.41
Volume
$325.28
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$61.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration92.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0530.132$24.81+$14.81
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.8900.983$24.62+$2.33
Will the next elected US president be a woman? · Yes0.1800.220$12.22+$2.22
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026? · No0.4140.000$0.00$16.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7469998588$1.00
06-25 06:44Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0529999951$10.00
06-25 06:43Will the next elected US president be a woman?BUY0.179999987$10.00
04-23 19:05Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?BUY0.8899999984$22.29
04-21 06:57Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2899999847$11.48
04-11 10:28Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7199999539$10.00