PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1D4Bf5286a2b2764ee6C73C9449aA90Bb80950C5-1778770698095

0x1d4bf5286a2b2764ee6c73c9449aa90bb80950c5

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$150.2k
Markets traded
5,777
Open portfolio
$120.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,777
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Metropolitanos FC vs. Caracas FC: Caracas FC O/U 1.5 · Under0.9300.997$64.29+$4.29
Spread: Monagas SC (-2.5) · Zamora FC0.9201.000$28.11+$2.24
Monagas SC vs. Zamora FC: O/U 3.5 · Under0.9301.000$24.59+$1.71
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? · Yes0.0200.050$0.25+$0.15
Will Kenny Kunene be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes0.0200.043$0.22+$0.12
Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.036$0.18+$0.13
Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0090.018$0.18+$0.08
Will John Thune be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0100.030$0.15+$0.10
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0040.026$0.13+$0.11
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.025$0.13+$0.08
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0100.025$0.12+$0.07
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.024$0.12+$0.10
Will Drake Baldwin lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · Yes0.0090.020$0.10+$0.06
Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.0100.020$0.10+$0.05
Will Chlöe Swarbrick be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.0100.017$0.08+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:24Set 2 Winner: Kayla Day vs Liudmila SamsonovaBUY0.9199999995$74.99
09-17 00:55Metropolitanos FC vs. Caracas FC: Caracas FC O/U 1.5BUY0.9299999994$60.00
09-17 00:14Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)BUY0.8699999989$22.84
09-16 23:28Spread: CA Mineiro (-1.5)BUY0.8$38.36
09-16 23:24Monagas SC vs. Zamora FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.9299999976$22.88
09-16 23:24Spread: Monagas SC (-2.5)BUY0.9199999986$25.87
09-16 21:08Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)BUY0.9329999891$1.79
09-16 21:08FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club: Real Racing Club O/U 2.5BUY0.8199999992$59.99
09-16 20:46Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)BUY0.8099999986$62.99
09-16 20:41MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva O/U 0.5BUY0.8099999946$8.96
09-16 20:38Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.8099999977$10.61
09-16 20:36Set 1 Winner: Vendula Valdmannova vs Laura PigossiBUY0.95$46.55
09-16 20:35Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)BUY0.9299999943$8.14
09-16 20:30Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. NK Celje: NK Celje O/U 0.5BUY0.9$52.49
09-16 20:29SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 O/U 1.5BUY0.86$36.21