0x1d3ecE4B6Bf73e642c7A5e5778aa3D72b124Ffcd-1730061299926
0x1d3ece4b6bf73e642c7a5e5778aa3d72b124ffcd
- Realised P&L
- $-172.66
- Volume
- $41.1k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $110.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.43at 0.260Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?
- +$48.40at 0.197Bitcoin new all time high in 2024?
- +$28.99at 0.420Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$27.38at 0.738Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
- +$26.79at 0.560Solana above $170 on November 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:51 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3571428571 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 20:29 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 12:32 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 05:06 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:03 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:57 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.57 |
| 10-03 20:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 09:15 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 09:09 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $19.99 |
| 09-15 20:11 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 06:58 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 18:21 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 18:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | SELL | 0.75 | $174.08 |
| 09-09 19:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $146.23 |