PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1d3ecE4B6Bf73e642c7A5e5778aa3D72b124Ffcd-1730061299926

0x1d3ece4b6bf73e642c7a5e5778aa3d72b124ffcd

Realised P&L
$-172.66
Volume
$41.1k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$110.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026? · No0.3570.340$95.20−$4.80
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.6960.598$8.58−$1.42
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1800.115$3.19−$1.81
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1700.079$2.31−$2.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2000.115$1.15−$0.85
Will Anthropic remove paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$5.00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2510.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? · Yes0.5270.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09? · Yes0.1170.000$0.00−$3.00
Will France win on 2026-07-18? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:51Will Anthropic IPO by November 23, 2026?BUY0.3571428571$100.00
10-10 20:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
10-10 12:32Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?BUY0.5699999886$2.00
10-04 05:06Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1799999986$5.00
10-04 05:03Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
10-04 04:57Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.97$10.57
10-03 20:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2$2.00
10-03 09:15Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
10-03 09:09Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.88$19.99
09-15 20:11Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
09-15 20:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1$1.00
09-13 06:58Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?BUY0.2199999974$5.00
09-11 18:21Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1799999856$2.00
09-11 18:21Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?SELL0.75$174.08
09-09 19:34Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.6299999987$146.23