PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

belgrave

0x1d3ddee184835813822669d23ab244543b33aa1a

Realised P&L
$624.18
Volume
$131.0k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$622.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.7100.780$400.92+$35.98
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · No0.8201.000$150.00+$27.00
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · Yes0.3000.130$67.73$88.57
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.860$4.30$0.10
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$13.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 09:49Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?SELL0.85$17.00
04-12 22:14Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?SELL0.89$425.42
04-11 18:44Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?SELL0.86$237.36
04-11 09:21Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?SELL0.84$152.04
04-11 09:21Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?SELL0.84$293.16
04-11 03:42Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?BUY0.8$603.20
04-11 01:00Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?BUY0.84$453.60
04-09 22:42Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.57$148.20
04-09 13:52Canada recession before 2027?SELL0.62$334.80
04-09 12:08Will "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?SELL0.05$50.60
04-08 08:42Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.51$132.60
04-08 08:07Canada recession before 2027?BUY0.62$372.00
04-08 05:15Will "Trump" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?BUY0.15$151.80
03-26 02:52Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?SELL0.76$234.08
03-26 02:51Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?SELL0.76$130.72