0x1d3d2d28cd0e76ba5fe675b3083eb2f6c1abfee8
- Realised P&L
- $-6.95
- Volume
- $690.85
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $16.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19? · No | 0.850 | 0.840 | $4.20 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 19? · No | 0.800 | 0.830 | $4.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? · No | 0.570 | 0.510 | $3.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.460 | $2.30 | +$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? · No | 0.570 | 0.625 | $1.45 | +$0.13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.190 | $0.95 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.06at 0.381Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17?
- +$1.45at 0.414Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 12?
- +$1.21at 0.752Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17?
- +$0.73at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17?
- +$0.69at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:40 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-17 20:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.00 |
| 09-17 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 20:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-16 17:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.07 |
| 09-16 12:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-15 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.11 |
| 09-15 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.06 |
| 09-15 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 09-15 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 09-14 19:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |