PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1d3c08718F4969C1e33E33584c46559212a4B1aA-1771770082010

0x1d3c08718f4969c1e33e33584c46559212a4b1aa

Realised P&L
$-351.21
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
463
Open portfolio
$65.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded463
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 25? · Yes0.7051.000$36.51+$10.77
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.7801.000$16.92+$3.72
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 25? · Yes0.7371.000$12.01+$3.16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25? · Yes0.5580.001$0.02−$18.90
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 25? · Yes0.1900.001$0.00−$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.3300.001$0.00−$1.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 06:47Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 25?SELL0.0254$0.25
09-25 06:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?BUY0.33$1.65
09-25 06:33Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.6$3.00
09-19 16:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.5299999883$20.00
09-19 16:26Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.056668$1.42
09-19 16:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.04$1.00
09-10 05:57Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 10?BUY0.9789999977$3.00
09-10 05:57Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on September 10?BUY0.9769999976$4.00
09-09 22:16Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 10?BUY0.9889999977$3.00
09-09 22:16Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 10?BUY0.9889999977$3.00
09-09 22:16Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 10?BUY0.9889999985$4.00
09-09 12:44Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 9?BUY0.9909999993$3.00
09-09 12:43Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 9?BUY0.992$3.00
09-09 12:43Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on September 9?BUY0.9789999953$4.00
09-09 07:16Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 9?BUY0.99$3.00