hurpdurp
0x1d3a805284bc8029cd6acd06d5a2b8b2b1807b63
- Realised P&L
- $-124.6k
- Volume
- $12.22M
- Markets traded
- 4,046
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,046
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.981 | $1.1k | +$550.27 |
| Steelers vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.680 | 0.685 | $684.31 | +$4.99 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) · Jets | 0.520 | 0.525 | $524.48 | +$5.00 |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5) · Dallas Wings | 0.500 | 0.485 | $430.68 | −$13.32 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Commanders | 0.490 | 0.475 | $421.80 | −$13.32 |
| NC State vs. Vanderbilt · NC State | 0.380 | 0.395 | $394.61 | +$14.98 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) · Bills | 0.590 | 0.805 | $256.80 | +$68.59 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels · Minnesota Twins | 0.500 | 0.525 | $251.61 | +$11.98 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.869 | 0.920 | $247.67 | +$13.79 |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 40.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.525 | $97.52 | +$0.93 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.620 | 0.625 | $92.36 | +$0.74 |
| Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 42.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.555 | $90.48 | +$0.82 |
| Josh Allen: Anytime Touchdown · No | 0.490 | 0.075 | $66.60 | −$368.52 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-9.5) · Cardinals | 0.490 | 0.665 | $57.85 | +$15.22 |
| Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor · Louisiana Tech | 0.110 | 0.095 | $54.72 | −$8.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.580Mariners vs. Phillies
- +$9.0kat 0.486Panthers vs. Oilers
- +$7.9kat 0.366Astros vs. Rockies
- +$7.0kat 0.300Nationals vs. Astros
- +$6.2kat 0.510Diamondbacks vs. Athletics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:31 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5 | $239.63 |
| 09-17 18:30 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.62 | $5.75 |
| 09-17 15:46 | Louisiana Tech vs. Baylor | BUY | 0.11 | $63.36 |
| 09-17 15:00 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.441 | $0.99 |
| 09-17 14:54 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.433 | $26.88 |
| 09-16 18:56 | NC State vs. Vanderbilt | BUY | 0.38 | $379.62 |
| 09-16 11:33 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $519.48 |
| 09-16 00:45 | Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $14.30 |
| 09-15 22:39 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.57 | $41.32 |
| 09-15 03:34 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $37.96 |
| 09-15 03:14 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $1.1k |
| 09-14 03:44 | Spread: Bills (-2.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $188.21 |
| 09-12 19:31 | Spread: Alabama (-9.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $87.98 |
| 09-12 18:52 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.57 | $58.85 |
| 09-12 17:14 | Noche UFC: Drakkar Klose vs. Tommy Gantt (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.22 | $1.13 |