hurpdurp
0x1d3a805284bc8029cd6acd06d5a2b8b2b1807b63
- Realised P&L
- $-125.4k
- Volume
- $12.31M
- Markets traded
- 4,394
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,394
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.600 | 0.615 | $683.26 | +$16.66 |
| Suns vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.490 | $435.12 | −$8.88 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.869 | 0.954 | $256.69 | +$22.81 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No | 0.580 | 0.940 | $139.36 | +$53.37 |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.515 | $52.55 | +$0.51 |
| Spread: Bears (-5.5) · Buccaneers | 0.490 | 0.505 | $9.09 | +$0.27 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.019 | $7.08 | −$3.81 |
| Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$8.29 |
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) · Heat | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$266.40 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.50 |
| Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$380.73 |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) · Lions | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$198.47 |
| Bruins vs. Kings · Kings | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$559.44 |
| San Diego State vs. Toledo: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$435.12 |
| Spread: Texans (-9.5) · Texans | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.580Mariners vs. Phillies
- +$9.0kat 0.486Panthers vs. Oilers
- +$7.9kat 0.366Astros vs. Rockies
- +$7.0kat 0.300Nationals vs. Astros
- +$6.2kat 0.510Diamondbacks vs. Athletics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 16:17 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.67 | $128.26 |
| 10-31 02:53 | North Dakota vs. Youngstown State: O/U 61.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 10-30 23:03 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.79 | $94.13 |
| 10-30 22:58 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.69 | $265.51 |
| 10-30 21:18 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.42 | $419.58 |
| 10-30 20:41 | Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $128.08 |
| 10-30 20:07 | Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $461.76 |
| 10-30 17:45 | Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $569.43 |
| 10-30 13:07 | Clippers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $544.39 |
| 10-30 13:01 | Hornets vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.49 | $745.63 |
| 10-30 08:46 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.56 | $310.80 |
| 10-30 01:45 | Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $388.50 |
| 10-29 00:38 | Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $179.83 |
| 10-29 00:22 | Flames vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $121.71 |
| 10-28 13:37 | Maple Leafs vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.56 | $211.50 |