PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1D38502D1E4fd858F5d140c26f10922d19435289-1781378169503

0x1d38502d1e4fd858f5d140c26f10922d19435289

Realised P&L
$-110.97
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
232
Open portfolio
$75.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded232
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9? · No0.5900.525$5.25−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? · Yes0.2500.505$5.05+$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 8? · No0.8901.000$5.00+$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 9? · No0.8800.969$4.84+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8? · No0.6400.969$4.84+$1.65
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 9? · No0.9000.955$4.78+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 10? · No0.8800.910$4.65+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 8? · No0.8200.920$4.60+$0.50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9? · No0.8700.895$4.47+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10? · No0.8200.895$4.47+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? · No0.8950.805$4.03−$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8? · No0.8600.740$3.70−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9? · No0.5600.650$3.25+$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? · No0.8100.635$3.17−$0.88
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 8? · No0.9000.595$2.98−$1.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:27Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.25$1.25
10-08 11:20Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.82$4.10
10-08 10:46Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 9?SELL0.63$3.15
10-08 10:43Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9?BUY0.47$2.35
10-08 08:39Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 8?BUY0.005$1.00
10-08 07:57Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 8?BUY0.002$1.00
10-08 06:25Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 10?BUY0.8799999922$4.50
10-08 05:28Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10?BUY0.7299999597$3.80
10-08 00:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9?BUY0.81$4.05
10-08 00:03Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?BUY0.007114353$1.74
10-08 00:02Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7?BUY0.00294831$1.59
10-07 23:57Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.25$1.25
10-07 23:42Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8?BUY0.0119999999$1.09
10-07 23:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8?BUY0.76$3.80
10-07 23:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 7?SELL0.994$5.02