0x1D38502D1E4fd858F5d140c26f10922d19435289-1781378169503
0x1d38502d1e4fd858f5d140c26f10922d19435289
- Realised P&L
- $-110.97
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 232
- Open portfolio
- $75.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded232
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.41at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$11.10at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$10.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$10.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$10.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-08 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-08 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.63 | $3.15 |
| 10-08 10:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-08 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94°F or higher on October 8? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.8799999922 | $4.50 |
| 10-08 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.7299999597 | $3.80 |
| 10-08 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |
| 10-08 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.007114353 | $1.74 |
| 10-08 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 7? | BUY | 0.00294831 | $1.59 |
| 10-07 23:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 10-07 23:42 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0119999999 | $1.09 |
| 10-07 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-07 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 7? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.02 |