0x1d33c1b0858838a670f945eae054093b3de1444a
0x1d33c1b0858838a670f945eae054093b3de1444a
- Realised P&L
- $4.77
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $1.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bogota FC win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.135 | $1.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Itagui Leones FC win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.01at 0.365Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$7.92at 0.417Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28?
- +$7.60at 0.396Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?
- +$7.50at 0.553Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$4.78at 0.417Will Italy win on 2026-09-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:44 | Will Bogota FC win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 20:42 | Will Itagui Leones FC win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 15:45 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999978 | $9.58 |
| 09-28 12:26 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3899999622 | $3.20 |
| 09-28 12:26 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 12:26 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 11:30 | Will Venezuela win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.1099999976 | $4.20 |
| 09-28 11:28 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.51 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3799999759 | $4.74 |
| 09-28 08:24 | Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3899999882 | $5.30 |
| 09-28 08:21 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 23:52 | Will Haiti vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 09-27 21:50 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4599999838 | $12.50 |
| 09-27 21:49 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 09-27 20:45 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |