Donknuth
0x1d2db6dffe029b3697d878197cbaab8a587689c0
- Realised P&L
- $97.97
- Volume
- $310.1k
- Markets traded
- 7,787
- Open portfolio
- $291.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,787
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.95at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$115.77at 0.509Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$114.58at 0.606Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$110.42at 0.432Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
- +$104.93at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 10:30 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $39.05 |
| 09-07 10:30 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $45.34 |
| 09-02 17:52 | Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1588402011 | $40.13 |
| 09-02 16:49 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2292652168 | $35.63 |
| 09-02 16:49 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05959357 | $30.73 |
| 09-02 16:49 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.32637077 | $133.09 |
| 06-30 11:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $7.37 |
| 06-30 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $4.16 |
| 06-30 11:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 06-30 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $2.88 |
| 06-30 10:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.82 | $5.74 |
| 06-30 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $2.59 |
| 06-30 10:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 06-30 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $2.33 |
| 06-30 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $0.55 |