0x1d2C1341241b065c0Ba55FaCD9e75A107846D1f0-1782297200254
0x1d2c1341241b065c0ba55facd9e75a107846d1f0
- Realised P&L
- $18.34
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $29.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.018 | $20.42 | +$15.42 |
| Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.181 | $6.45 | +$2.85 |
| Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.051 | $2.50 | −$0.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 16:14 | Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1009999758 | $3.60 |
| 06-24 16:13 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0042858306 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 16:13 | Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0605591114 | $3.00 |