0x1d29e8270f2ccd08f878256e4534193123cfa562
- Realised P&L
- $-571.44
- Volume
- $602.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $136.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.015 | $136.86 | −$119.59 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.95 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.80 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$872.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$574.09at 0.285Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$-3.72at 0.230Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-15.33at 0.063Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-22 09:04 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.01 |
| 04-21 04:07 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999987 | $80.95 |
| 04-21 04:06 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $81.77 |
| 04-20 03:51 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $48.79 |
| 04-20 03:47 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $25.55 |
| 04-20 03:46 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $24.78 |
| 04-19 17:10 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $24.87 |
| 04-19 17:10 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $24.87 |
| 04-19 17:09 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $24.87 |
| 04-19 17:09 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $24.87 |
| 04-19 14:43 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $99.50 |
| 04-19 14:39 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $99.50 |
| 04-19 11:47 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 10:38 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $99.53 |
| 04-19 10:32 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $14.92 |