nawafsalman
0x1d1ee94ddb9f76ecd8334f2307d81fe2501ea3bd
- Realised P&L
- $-99.94
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $14.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? · Yes | 0.599 | 0.683 | $13.67 | +$1.69 |
| Will OpenAI's frontier output token price be at or above $60 in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.029 | $0.58 | −$1.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.18at 0.550Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
- +$2.17at 0.480Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next?
- +$1.80at 0.650Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?
- +$1.24at 0.720Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?
- +$0.60at 0.450Will Dusan Vlahovic join Besiktas?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 16:44 | Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.76 |
| 10-05 22:21 | Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next? | SELL | 0.63 | $5.67 |
| 10-05 22:21 | Will Quillan Salkilld fight Benoit Saint Denis next? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 10-02 15:54 | Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? | SELL | 0.74 | $37.00 |
| 09-30 22:16 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.256 | $15.36 |
| 09-26 09:18 | SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.39 |
| 09-26 09:17 | Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 09-21 17:44 | Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-20 17:18 | Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026? | SELL | 0.289 | $5.78 |
| 09-19 00:38 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-11 11:13 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $17.60 |
| 08-11 18:40 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.81 |
| 08-03 18:04 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 07-25 15:20 | Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |