Pwaddler
0x1d1ade627d0bb0205758580b20d808573e720df6
- Realised P&L
- $-602.1k
- Volume
- $20.55M
- Markets traded
- 996
- Open portfolio
- $17.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded996
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) · Cowboys | 0.520 | 1.000 | $17.0k | +$8.2k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Boston Red Sox | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.6k |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.0k |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.7k |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.2k |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.0k |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.9k |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) · Argentina | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.5k |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.2k |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.437 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) · Germany | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$135.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.2kat 0.598Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$83.3kat 0.539Washington Nationals vs. Athletics
- +$63.2kat 0.492Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5
- +$57.9kat 0.517Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$54.6kat 0.506Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 22:01 | Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $5.5k |
| 09-20 22:01 | Spread: Cowboys (-10.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.4k |
| 09-20 16:37 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $1.6k |
| 09-20 16:16 | Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $7.3k |
| 09-20 14:37 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $5.1k |
| 09-20 14:28 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $21.6k |
| 09-20 14:23 | Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.48 | $28.8k |
| 09-20 01:15 | Northern Illinois vs. Arizona: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $398.58 |
| 09-20 00:09 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.6 | $3.1k |
| 09-19 23:26 | Spread: Northwestern (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.0k |
| 09-19 22:50 | Northern Illinois vs. Arizona: O/U 50.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $41.32 |
| 09-19 22:23 | Spread: Calgary Stampeders (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4799751244 | $964.75 |
| 09-19 15:19 | Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $6.8k |
| 09-19 15:17 | Eastern Michigan vs. Wisconsin: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $5.1k |
| 09-19 15:05 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.59 | $52.5k |