PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

chavezjonathon

0x1d185d1df7ce2ac6cd1d5e7b83ebb7738b9bd398

Realised P&L
$-47.99
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$60.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: North Texas (-27.5) · North Texas0.5500.560$25.14+$0.45
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? · No0.7700.825$21.99+$1.47
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? · No0.6700.675$12.91+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 10:33Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.7267883837$22.63
01-31 13:59Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January?BUY0.999$16.92
01-30 18:25Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9969999999$9.46
01-30 16:45Will Hyperliquid hit $42 in January?BUY0.9979999704$21.30
01-30 14:45Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.999$14.37
01-30 13:06Will Solana dip to $80 in January?BUY0.999$56.11
12-30 11:40Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in 2025?BUY0.999$2.81
12-30 11:20Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.999$6.25
12-30 10:58Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$14.37
12-30 09:13Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025?BUY0.999$23.26
12-29 19:47US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY0.9979999783$14.89
12-29 18:28Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.997$59.31
10-30 19:46Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$38.90
10-30 18:38Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$35.96
09-29 16:02Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.995999972$13.92