kimma97
0x1d16b887703318582321c3c96687f565919ee798
- Realised P&L
- $-20.5k
- Volume
- $5.85M
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $108.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.1kat 0.029US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$24.3kat 0.011Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$8.4kat 0.255US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$2.5kat 0.170US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$127.58at 0.043Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 18:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.90 |
| 09-27 13:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.035 | $153.41 |
| 09-27 13:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0181182224 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 13:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 13:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0282533697 | $128.66 |
| 09-27 13:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0167189133 | $40.00 |
| 09-27 13:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0143410297 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.38 |
| 09-27 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0245076687 | $77.14 |
| 09-27 13:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.63 |
| 09-27 13:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0209634286 | $146.74 |
| 09-24 08:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.04 | $37.73 |
| 09-24 08:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.028 | $28.00 |
| 09-24 08:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.0174378558 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 08:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.0138605733 | $13.00 |