AhghastBog
0x1d1302ac82a59e04805831b74bffc7b84a573c2f
- Realised P&L
- $16.6k
- Volume
- $1.44M
- Markets traded
- 974
- Open portfolio
- $261.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded974
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.4kat 0.486Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
- +$7.2kat 0.702Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
- +$7.0kat 0.527Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
- +$6.8kat 0.693Michael Olise: 1+ assists
- +$4.2kat 0.715Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:22 | The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Welsh Fire - Who wins the toss? | BUY | 0.984297989 | $53.84 |
| 08-03 13:43 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.20 |
| 07-30 16:07 | Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 14:06 | The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Birmingham Phoenix | BUY | 0.61 | $11.55 |
| 07-30 09:33 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.36 |
| 07-29 13:21 | The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.99 |
| 07-20 17:11 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.4049620417 | $97.19 |
| 07-20 17:10 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.4008598896 | $233.09 |
| 07-20 17:09 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.535453774 | $119.89 |
| 07-20 17:09 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.3423073401 | $182.39 |
| 07-20 17:08 | Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.0920740741 | $6.22 |
| 07-19 21:25 | Will Marcos Llorente Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.9892934531 | $145.37 |
| 07-19 21:25 | Will Eric García Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.928 | $4.64 |
| 07-19 20:47 | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.98 | $227.49 |
| 07-19 19:51 | Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.059163631 | $151.04 |