AhghastBog
0x1d1302ac82a59e04805831b74bffc7b84a573c2f
- Realised P&L
- $13.0k
- Volume
- $1.47M
- Markets traded
- 1,061
- Open portfolio
- $4.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,061
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.4kat 0.486Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
- +$7.2kat 0.702Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
- +$7.0kat 0.527Erling Haaland: 1+ goals
- +$6.8kat 0.693Michael Olise: 1+ assists
- +$4.2kat 0.715Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:58 | Will Sam Darnold have 17.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.39 | $24.57 |
| 09-20 23:32 | Will Aaron Jones have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.42 | $16.80 |
| 09-20 23:30 | Will Aaron Jones have 224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.90 |
| 09-20 22:54 | Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.92 | $35.89 |
| 09-20 20:29 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 09-20 20:28 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-20 20:27 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 09-20 20:26 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.4143784 | $207.19 |
| 09-20 20:26 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-20 20:26 | Packers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.46 | $46.00 |
| 09-20 19:33 | Will Caleb Williams have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.7219444985 | $259.89 |
| 09-20 19:33 | Will Caleb Williams have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.5242857143 | $36.70 |
| 09-20 19:33 | Will Caleb Williams have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 17:22 | Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9 | $72.00 |
| 09-18 14:44 | Will Sam Darnold have 3,449.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.43 | $70.09 |