PolyBot

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Traders

AhghastBog

0x1d1302ac82a59e04805831b74bffc7b84a573c2f

Realised P&L
$13.0k
Volume
$1.47M
Markets traded
1,061
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,061
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sam Darnold have 20.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3810.645$1.6k+$646.96
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5070.485$615.48$27.95
Will A.J. Brown have 1,324.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7300.967$394.39+$96.51
Will Caleb Williams have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7220.981$352.97+$93.08
Will Sam Darnold have 3,449.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.4290.640$321.92+$106.22
Will Sam Darnold have 3,699.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5300.725$275.50+$74.10
Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6810.840$125.49+$23.67
Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.7400.885$123.23+$20.19
Will A.J. Brown have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5950.720$118.80+$20.65
Will A.J. Brown have 1,124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5290.948$95.38+$42.07
Will Sam Darnold have 26.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.6920.800$83.36+$11.26
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.9000.930$74.40+$2.40
Will A.J. Brown have 1,524.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.9000.971$69.91+$5.11
Will Caleb Williams have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5240.790$55.30+$18.60
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · Yes0.1400.125$41.44$4.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 17:58Will Sam Darnold have 17.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.39$24.57
09-20 23:32Will Aaron Jones have 624.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.42$16.80
09-20 23:30Will Aaron Jones have 224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.9$18.90
09-20 22:54Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.92$35.89
09-20 20:29Packers vs. JetsBUY0.22$11.00
09-20 20:28Packers vs. JetsBUY0.25$25.00
09-20 20:27Packers vs. JetsBUY0.31$62.00
09-20 20:26Packers vs. JetsBUY0.4143784$207.19
09-20 20:26Packers vs. JetsBUY0.46$46.00
09-20 20:26Packers vs. JetsBUY0.46$46.00
09-20 19:33Will Caleb Williams have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.7219444985$259.89
09-20 19:33Will Caleb Williams have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.5242857143$36.70
09-20 19:33Will Caleb Williams have 18.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.22$1.10
09-20 17:22Will TreVeyon Henderson have 299.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.9$72.00
09-18 14:44Will Sam Darnold have 3,449.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.43$70.09