PolyBot

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Traders

kob3r

0x1d11f14c17af5f4d71b5823ab01ad998684646c2

Realised P&L
$7.75
Volume
$616.40
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$16.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? · No0.2700.695$2.57+$1.57
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? · No0.2100.165$1.57−$0.43
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0060.003$1.14−$1.86
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2400.235$0.98−$0.02
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Invictus Gaming0.2300.225$0.98−$0.02
Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League? · Yes0.2100.205$0.98−$0.02
Will France win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes0.1900.185$0.97−$0.03
Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.2800.255$0.91−$0.09
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0230.021$0.89−$0.11
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3800.325$0.86−$0.14
Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026? · Yes0.0630.052$0.83−$0.17
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.0390.031$0.79−$0.21
Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? · Yes0.6600.520$0.79−$0.21
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? · Yes0.2200.155$0.70−$0.30
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.125$0.69−$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 17:26Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-20 08:32LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-20 08:29Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-20 08:28Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-20 08:26Will France win the UEFA EURO 2028?BUY0.1899999962$1.00
10-20 08:26Will France win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-20 05:59France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-20 05:57Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.01$1.00
10-19 07:45Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?BUY0.0629999995$1.00
10-19 07:43Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
10-19 07:39Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?BUY0.003$1.00
10-18 21:09Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-18 21:04Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-18 21:03Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
10-18 20:59Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO5) - 1win Streamers League #3 PlayoffsBUY0.2299999517$1.00