PolyBot

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Traders

0x1d0fd5ede0ab4c30921ca02fc55e047132ec2988

0x1d0fd5ede0ab4c30921ca02fc55e047132ec2988

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$31.1k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.6441.000$620.91+$220.75
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1901.000$256.84+$208.04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4900.595$55.82+$9.85
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? · No0.6750.315$35.07−$40.13
Spread: Saints (-1.5) · Saints0.4900.480$16.54−$0.34
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? · No0.8601.000$5.79+$0.81
Bills vs. Raiders · Bills0.6900.685$4.89−$0.04
Cowboys vs. Packers · Packers0.5300.525$4.86−$0.05
Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5 · Under0.4800.475$4.85−$0.05
Spread: Rams (-13.5) · Cardinals0.5300.525$3.67−$0.03
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$197.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$4.92
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Wolves0.3400.000$0.00−$106.77
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) · San Francisco Giants0.3100.000$0.00−$96.65
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00−$38.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 23:29Spread: Rams (-13.5)BUY0.53$3.71
10-13 23:26Spread: Saints (-1.5)BUY0.4899999942$16.88
10-13 23:25Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5BUY0.4799999687$4.90
10-13 23:22Cowboys vs. PackersBUY0.5299999968$4.91
10-13 18:55Bills vs. RaidersBUY0.689999965$4.93
10-05 22:05Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?SELL0.2985720406$20.91
10-05 22:04Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?SELL0.2966629784$187.68
10-05 22:02Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?SELL0.3461267847$222.55
08-21 03:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$2.1k
08-20 18:34Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.073$9.55
08-20 13:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7399998827$4.92
08-19 15:49Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.073999986$4.76
08-14 14:22Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?BUY0.675463189$984.13
08-10 20:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.89$682.99
08-10 13:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.95$1.1k