0x1d0fd5ede0ab4c30921ca02fc55e047132ec2988
0x1d0fd5ede0ab4c30921ca02fc55e047132ec2988
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $31.1k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.600Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$842.50at 0.701Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$291.25at 0.576Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
- +$234.70at 0.521Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$191.91at 0.513Will England win on 2026-07-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 23:29 | Spread: Rams (-13.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $3.71 |
| 10-13 23:26 | Spread: Saints (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999942 | $16.88 |
| 10-13 23:25 | Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.4799999687 | $4.90 |
| 10-13 23:22 | Cowboys vs. Packers | BUY | 0.5299999968 | $4.91 |
| 10-13 18:55 | Bills vs. Raiders | BUY | 0.689999965 | $4.93 |
| 10-05 22:05 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? | SELL | 0.2985720406 | $20.91 |
| 10-05 22:04 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? | SELL | 0.2966629784 | $187.68 |
| 10-05 22:02 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? | SELL | 0.3461267847 | $222.55 |
| 08-21 03:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $2.1k |
| 08-20 18:34 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.073 | $9.55 |
| 08-20 13:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399998827 | $4.92 |
| 08-19 15:49 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.073999986 | $4.76 |
| 08-14 14:22 | Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West? | BUY | 0.675463189 | $984.13 |
| 08-10 20:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $682.99 |
| 08-10 13:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.1k |