AFKJ511
0x1d0afad81c2069f9297c8b6222c5f7de0f2b51f0
- Realised P&L
- $166.39
- Volume
- $38.6k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $30.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? · No | 0.982 | 0.987 | $30.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? · No | 0.993 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.40at 0.520Rangers vs. Blue Jackets
- +$3.50at 0.909Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$2.22at 0.926Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27?
- +$1.71at 0.948Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.29at 0.953Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 11:46 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 14:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9879999983 | $35.30 |
| 10-03 01:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9849999745 | $34.90 |
| 10-03 01:47 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.9904242081 | $35.02 |
| 09-29 03:28 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.95 | $33.60 |
| 09-28 01:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.992 | $33.40 |
| 09-27 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9939999826 | $33.20 |
| 09-25 08:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999999 | $32.80 |
| 09-21 12:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9209999995 | $30.50 |
| 09-18 12:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9819999995 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 12:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 19? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $36.20 |
| 08-19 03:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $36.10 |
| 08-18 02:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.70 |
| 08-17 03:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.987 | $35.30 |
| 08-16 04:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $35.00 |