Lou3
0x1d058b44d205f971a70512ca9cef451be85e3d36
- Realised P&L
- $-10.90
- Volume
- $989.52
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $36.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.83at 0.410Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$-0.03at 0.136Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?
- +$-1.39at 0.306Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$-3.29at 0.294Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:25 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.5599999642 | $2.50 |
| 09-13 22:19 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:18 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | BUY | 0.0977326036 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 21:19 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 84-86%? | BUY | 0.0393824827 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:15 | Will "Ain't in LA - ADELA" be the #2 song this week? | BUY | 0.0105014439 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:10 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:08 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:06 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:51 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:45 | Will Centre Party (C) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.1049167779 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 20:33 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:31 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.941 | $13.93 |
| 09-13 20:09 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 20:08 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 19:54 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0295852153 | $3.00 |