Violadfb
0x1d052a27d1eda98b18f20caefb03e12938055aee
- Realised P&L
- $-104.83
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $44.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 42.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.405 | $25.52 | −$2.20 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 16? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $19.02 | +$0.02 |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.50 |
| Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchaga · Stan Wawrinka | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs JiJieHao (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group B · JiJieHao | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$103.60 |
| LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · SK Gaming | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$301.24at 0.500Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
- +$236.51at 0.500Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$98.17at 0.500Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$13.58at 0.612UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)
- +$13.31at 0.500Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 03:35 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $349.65 |
| 10-16 03:35 | Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 42.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $27.72 |
| 10-16 03:34 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $225.00 |
| 10-16 03:34 | Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $125.00 |
| 10-15 03:46 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $504.49 |
| 10-15 03:45 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.48 |
| 10-15 03:45 | Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $505.00 |
| 10-15 03:45 | Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $474.05 |
| 10-15 03:44 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $22.45 |
| 10-15 03:44 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $479.04 |
| 10-15 03:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 10-15 03:43 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $255.00 |
| 10-15 03:43 | Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $128.62 |
| 10-15 03:43 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $247.00 |
| 10-15 03:43 | Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $385.86 |