0x1D040057A954e1Da69047bf1EBe2273B5A2dD970-1782950550240
0x1d040057a954e1da69047bf1ebe2273b5a2dd970
- Realised P&L
- $-140.11
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $590.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.97at 0.580Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
- +$28.46at 0.587United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$20.40at 0.657United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
- +$17.17at 0.865Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$6.71at 0.587Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | SELL | 0.66 | $7.67 |
| 09-19 14:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 15:43 | Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999987 | $127.00 |
| 09-14 12:10 | Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 16:23 | Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 16:23 | Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-09 11:46 | Multipli.fi FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0248069362 | $7.00 |
| 09-09 11:34 | Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5803278156 | $3.00 |
| 09-09 11:33 | Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5638151492 | $168.00 |
| 09-04 13:49 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0401238251 | $2.70 |
| 09-04 12:22 | Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.098 | $2.55 |
| 09-03 09:57 | Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6499999972 | $34.87 |
| 09-03 09:54 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 09:53 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 09-02 11:04 | Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1730769111 | $10.00 |