PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1D040057A954e1Da69047bf1EBe2273B5A2dD970-1782950550240

0x1d040057a954e1da69047bf1ebe2273b5a2dd970

Realised P&L
$-140.11
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$590.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? · No0.5740.495$296.29$47.31
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.905$210.47+$10.47
Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch? · No0.6020.365$63.40$41.12
Multipli.fi FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.0250.073$20.74+$13.74
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$40.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00$20.00
Harry Kane: 1+ goals · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.00
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance · United States0.5300.000$0.00$40.00
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6900.000$0.00$40.00
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norway0.3400.000$0.00$9.60
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14? · No0.0460.000$0.00$3.00
Erling Haaland: 1+ goals · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$20.00
Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.1300.000$0.00$45.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 14:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSELL0.66$7.67
09-19 14:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-17 15:43Will Donald Tusk visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999987$127.00
09-14 12:10Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.5$20.00
09-11 16:23Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
09-11 16:23Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.4899999984$30.00
09-09 11:46Multipli.fi FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.0248069362$7.00
09-09 11:34Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.5803278156$3.00
09-09 11:33Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?BUY0.5638151492$168.00
09-04 13:49Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0401238251$2.70
09-04 12:22Will Steve Witkoff visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?SELL0.098$2.55
09-03 09:57Reya FDV above $40M one day after launch?BUY0.6499999972$34.87
09-03 09:54Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
09-03 09:53Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.17$10.20
09-02 11:04Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1730769111$10.00