PolyBot

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Traders

0x1cFDd0EbEF66247c68561a9e2b2499F6bD296D5e-1768437796413

0x1cfdd0ebef66247c68561a9e2b2499f6bd296d5e

Realised P&L
$489.22
Volume
$9.2k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$419.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · No0.5990.850$283.91+$83.91
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.1980.195$98.73$1.27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5500.100$36.36$163.64
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · No0.4100.000$0.00$100.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$20.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9? · Yes0.3610.000$0.00$10.00
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? · Yes0.6030.000$0.00$100.00
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? · Yes0.1860.000$0.00$100.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$20.00
Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots0.3300.000$0.00$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.3600.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 20:23Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2949999987$100.00
07-07 22:33Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$100.00
07-05 21:59Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.32$50.00
07-05 21:59Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5099999985$100.00
06-13 15:58Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland?BUY0.1$10.00
06-13 15:56Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999939$20.00
06-13 15:56Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0509999977$20.00
06-13 15:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1679999917$20.00
05-09 03:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?BUY0.0963281377$10.00
05-09 03:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9?BUY0.3611729178$10.00
05-09 03:00Spurs vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.3599999977$50.00
04-05 06:55Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?BUY0.7940084125$200.00
03-14 02:56Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5987755041$200.00
03-01 03:24US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.4070529355$100.00
03-01 03:23US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY0.1860009778$100.00