0x1cFDd0EbEF66247c68561a9e2b2499F6bD296D5e-1768437796413
0x1cfdd0ebef66247c68561a9e2b2499f6bd296d5e
- Realised P&L
- $489.22
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $419.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$690.86at 0.516Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
- +$124.01at 0.446Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?
- +$98.55at 0.172Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$98.50at 0.507Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$94.61at 0.517Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 20:23 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2949999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 22:33 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 21:59 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 21:59 | Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $100.00 |
| 06-13 15:58 | Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 15:56 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-13 15:56 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0509999977 | $20.00 |
| 06-13 15:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1679999917 | $20.00 |
| 05-09 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.0963281377 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 9? | BUY | 0.3611729178 | $10.00 |
| 05-09 03:00 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.3599999977 | $50.00 |
| 04-05 06:55 | Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? | BUY | 0.7940084125 | $200.00 |
| 03-14 02:56 | Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5987755041 | $200.00 |
| 03-01 03:24 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.4070529355 | $100.00 |
| 03-01 03:23 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.1860009778 | $100.00 |