PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Xomaj19

0x1cef72d5e8eeab71f210f49531916ba16758759e

Realised P&L
$-977.59
Volume
$203.2k
Markets traded
442
Open portfolio
$28.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded442
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.070$17.50−$8.00
Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.065$11.05+$0.85
Houthi military action against Mecca by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0090.006$0.14−$0.07
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Colombia? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up0.0840.000$0.00−$2.00
Exact Score: United States 0 - 3 Belgium? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$12.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$4.13
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$2.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.1100.000$0.00−$0.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.0420.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.0650.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 14:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.06$1.47
10-02 14:23Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?BUY0.06$1.20
09-30 19:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-30 12:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-30 12:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-30 04:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 3?BUY0.01$2.55
09-29 19:22Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ETBUY0.1$1.00
09-29 18:53Israel military action against Yemen by September 30?BUY0.009$1.35
09-29 18:49Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026?SELL0.009105$1.82
09-29 18:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 3?BUY0.009$0.04
09-29 18:42Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.12$12.00
09-29 13:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.1699999983$1.00
09-28 20:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.1399999832$1.00
09-27 20:05Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.028$1.40
09-27 20:04Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.028$1.40