0x1ceb2da5eaa92c06b0a570f8171826a4e6bbb03c
- Realised P&L
- $-124.64
- Volume
- $41.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $0.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.12at 0.027MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$135.76at 0.184UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$122.57at 0.140US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$71.45at 0.834UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
- +$1.31at 0.094Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 23:47 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3259999974 | $70.00 |
| 06-30 23:46 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $32.71 |
| 06-30 23:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $6.22 |
| 06-30 23:45 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.012 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 23:45 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1101787242 | $12.11 |
| 06-30 23:44 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.083 | $11.69 |
| 06-29 16:56 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0126298706 | $80.00 |
| 06-24 22:13 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-24 20:29 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.0389999963 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 19:20 | Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.1499999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-19 22:16 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.0599999958 | $13.00 |
| 06-19 21:38 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 14:31 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $142.56 |
| 06-17 07:35 | Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999995 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 07:29 | Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? | BUY | 0.051999999 | $50.00 |