PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1ceb2da5eaa92c06b0a570f8171826a4e6bbb03c

Realised P&L
$-124.64
Volume
$41.4k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$0.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bogdan Guskov be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.008$0.91$19.09
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00$63.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$20.00
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? · No0.1750.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2910.000$0.00$80.00
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico0.1100.000$0.00$25.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$50.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$20.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$30.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$15.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$80.00
Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00$299.99
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$24.99
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-22? · No0.6410.000$0.00$4.24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 23:47Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3259999974$70.00
06-30 23:46Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.04$32.71
06-30 23:46Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.08$6.22
06-30 23:45Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.012$10.00
06-30 23:45Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.1101787242$12.11
06-30 23:44Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.083$11.69
06-29 16:56Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0126298706$80.00
06-24 22:13Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.1799999976$50.00
06-24 20:29Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.0389999963$10.00
06-24 19:20Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.1499999976$50.00
06-19 22:16Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.0599999958$13.00
06-19 21:38Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.16$50.00
06-17 14:31US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.998$142.56
06-17 07:35Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.0519999995$100.00
06-17 07:29Will Aurora win IEM Cologne Major 2026?BUY0.051999999$50.00