crashhh
0x1ce9d778b0750676a04a826c407ec4c15c697115
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $56.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,692
- Open portfolio
- $11.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,692
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card) · Ilias Bulaid | 0.520 | 0.525 | $7.88 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ilias Bulaid win by KO or TKO? · No | 0.610 | 0.630 | $3.15 | +$0.10 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5) · Natus Vincere | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercan · Melisa Ercan | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner · Team Nemesis | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dota 2: Ivory vs Team Kinetix (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage · Ivory | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner · UCAM Esports Club | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
| Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs Phantom Academy (+1.5) · Leo Team | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$345.76at 0.559Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$228.64at 0.567Senators vs. Hurricanes
- +$131.44at 0.547Madrid Open, Qualification: Dalma Galfi vs Darja Vidmanova
- +$131.38at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$66.71at 0.574Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Tamara Korpatsch
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:50 | Counter-Strike: K27 vs BakS eSports (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 09-30 15:49 | Counter-Strike: K27 vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 09-30 15:47 | Adana: Leolia Jeanjean vs Melisa Ercan | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 09-30 15:42 | Counter-Strike: megoshort vs eternal premium - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6304 | $3.15 |
| 09-30 15:25 | LoL: eSuba vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-30 15:07 | Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-30 14:54 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-30 14:51 | Curitiba: Luis Guto Miguel vs Facundo Mena | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-30 14:44 | Dota 2: PARIVISION vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 09-30 14:37 | Curitiba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadelli | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-30 14:36 | China Open: Anna Bondar vs Renata Zarazua | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 14:12 | Curitiba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Carlos Prado | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-30 14:11 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Phantom Academy - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-30 14:11 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 09-30 14:01 | Porto 2: Otto Virtanen vs Tiago Pereira | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |