PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kasper2517

0x1ce768c63071fd3dcaeb4e5359dc5ab86f259cac

Realised P&L
$-158.58
Volume
$10.2k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$61.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Aurora0.5600.545$19.46−$0.54
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Otari Tanzilovi0.5110.410$8.03−$1.97
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.355$7.10−$2.90
Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.2600.255$5.88−$0.12
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) · Daria Zhelezniakova0.4900.450$5.51−$0.49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6460.639$4.95−$0.05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5550.446$4.01−$0.99
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.365$3.91+$0.91
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.1200.115$2.88−$0.13
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Nursulton Ruziboev0.4100.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: YBN Team vs Stray Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Playoffs · Stray Team0.6330.000$0.00−$21.00
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill? · Yes0.7020.000$0.00−$10.00
UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira (Middleweight, Main Card) · Robert Bryczek0.4100.000$0.00−$1.95
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winner · Team Spirit0.4000.000$0.00−$5.00
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs · Team Yandex0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 23:52Will Israel win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.2599999896$6.00
10-03 23:50Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.12$3.00
10-03 23:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.645999961$5.00
10-03 23:48UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)BUY0.4899999984$6.00
10-03 23:47UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.5107252298$10.00
10-03 23:44UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-03 23:43UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.1499999993$20.00
10-03 23:42Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.5599999955$20.00
10-02 19:24UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.32$12.64
10-02 19:22Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.6268656698$10.00
10-02 19:22Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding MatchesBUY0.3499999948$20.00
10-02 19:21Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CBUY0.5599999955$10.00
09-30 21:43Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group CBUY0.8027644157$30.00
09-30 03:49Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group DBUY0.5499999786$9.00
09-30 03:48Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.3125245347$9.24