kasper2517
0x1ce768c63071fd3dcaeb4e5359dc5ab86f259cac
- Realised P&L
- $-158.58
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $61.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.49at 0.361Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
- +$26.43at 0.331UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$23.89at 0.462Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
- +$23.77at 0.394Dota 2: Stray Team vs Rostik Team - Game 1 Winner
- +$22.05at 0.412Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 23:52 | Will Israel win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 23:50 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 23:49 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.645999961 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 23:48 | UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 23:47 | UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Malcolm Wellmaker (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5107252298 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 23:44 | UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 23:43 | UFC 332: Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Payton Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $20.00 |
| 10-03 23:42 | Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 19:24 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.32 | $12.64 |
| 10-02 19:22 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6268656698 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 19:22 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 19:21 | Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 21:43 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | BUY | 0.8027644157 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 03:49 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group D | BUY | 0.5499999786 | $9.00 |
| 09-30 03:48 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.3125245347 | $9.24 |