0x1ce5000f228a6a392306217670468778cb6117f9
- Realised P&L
- $685.02
- Volume
- $28.4k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $198.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.815 | $198.76 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$451.23at 0.250Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$342.33at 0.317Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$284.62at 0.260Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$270.37at 0.270Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$202.09at 0.597Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:41 | Will Deportivo Saprissa win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 13:39 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 07-31 09:21 | Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.8 | $32.00 |
| 07-31 09:14 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:10 | Will Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.8504326325 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 09:02 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 06:55 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6899999968 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 06:50 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 11:09 | Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 10:57 | Will Noah FA win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.7699999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 10:55 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 10:36 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 19:07 | Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-29? | SELL | 0.9766710508 | $493.81 |
| 07-29 17:04 | Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-07-29? | BUY | 0.8899999998 | $450.00 |
| 07-29 06:38 | Will Cerezo Osaka vs. Borussia Dortmund end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1799999909 | $15.00 |