PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1CDFEC815B6fe5E4d9dD6720d1590E274149Af83-1767627600195

0x1cdfec815b6fe5e4d9dd6720d1590e274149af83

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$239.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1800.065$130.00$230.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$85.50$214.50
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · Yes0.1200.036$24.10$56.23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$240.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$100.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$42.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$4.80
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$41.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-14 21:02Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?BUY0.21$14.91
01-07 16:23Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?BUY0.55$3.74
01-07 16:21US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?BUY0.12$13.40
01-06 20:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7?BUY0.24$4.80
01-06 14:35Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.15$41.08
01-05 17:00Maduro mugshot released by January 9?BUY0.3899999982$100.00
01-05 16:22Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.12$240.00
01-05 16:21Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1$300.00
01-05 16:20US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2254638333$676.39