0x1CDFEC815B6fe5E4d9dD6720d1590E274149Af83-1767627600195
0x1cdfec815b6fe5e4d9dd6720d1590e274149af83
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $239.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $130.00 | −$230.00 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.029 | $85.50 | −$214.50 |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.036 | $24.10 | −$56.23 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$240.00 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.225US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$134.99at 0.550Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-14 21:02 | Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $14.91 |
| 01-07 16:23 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in January? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.74 |
| 01-07 16:21 | US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.40 |
| 01-06 20:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 01-06 14:35 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $41.08 |
| 01-05 17:00 | Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 01-05 16:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $240.00 |
| 01-05 16:21 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $300.00 |
| 01-05 16:20 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2254638333 | $676.39 |