0x1cddd625435b7e5dc6c7fbe6676209d97a4f10cc
- Realised P&L
- $-13.07
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $137.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.775 | $137.42 | −$29.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.11at 0.963MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$4.33at 0.995Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15?
- +$2.66at 0.980Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$1.74at 0.967Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- +$0.75at 0.993Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:28 | APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $166.67 |
| 05-26 13:27 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.978 | $166.26 |
| 05-02 01:28 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $164.05 |
| 03-31 05:14 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.963 | $152.64 |
| 03-31 05:14 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | SELL | 0.999 | $139.86 |
| 03-18 23:48 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.98 | $137.20 |
| 03-17 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 18? | BUY | 0.99518 | $149.28 |
| 03-16 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 16? | BUY | 0.993 | $148.95 |
| 03-16 00:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.995 | $149.25 |
| 03-15 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 52°F or higher on March 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $150.35 |
| 03-15 00:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on March 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $149.55 |