PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1cd57643518BEc34f97A1Da1b846E3B6b7AF5551-1768912819386

0x1cd57643518bec34f97a1da1b846e3b6b7af5551

Realised P&L
$216.49
Volume
$243.6k
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes0.8040.875$660.11+$53.53
Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? · Yes0.4030.400$629.53−$5.46
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? · No0.3500.410$246.07+$36.07
Will Chicão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes0.1360.280$41.25+$21.25
Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes0.5500.555$40.34+$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on February 26? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 5? · Yes0.4520.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Fed chair announcement? · Yes0.3970.000$0.00−$13.90
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1160.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 4? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Igor Thiago be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$2.00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors0.1220.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on February 26? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 23:51Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.431957749$207.04
10-01 23:50Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?SELL0.85$213.75
10-01 00:36Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.4499999991$25.33
09-29 15:06Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round?SELL0.2004541257$26.48
09-27 14:46Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.4$75.45
09-27 01:26Will Chicão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?BUY0.1355039871$20.00
09-27 01:25Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?BUY0.7899999999$200.00
09-24 12:01Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.3586206897$52.00
09-23 12:23Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?SELL0.8$200.72
09-23 00:54Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?SELL0.7670491318$155.50
09-22 14:47Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.3567914439$33.36
09-19 19:10Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.3485243479$200.00
09-17 12:27Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.3799999924$10.00
09-17 00:46Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?BUY0.4199999984$100.00
09-15 14:58Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?SELL0.5860728561$64.51