0x1cd57643518BEc34f97A1Da1b846E3B6b7AF5551-1768912819386
0x1cd57643518bec34f97a1da1b846e3b6b7af5551
- Realised P&L
- $216.49
- Volume
- $243.6k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$243.63at 0.334Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$47.67at 0.793Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
- +$46.74at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11?
- +$32.72at 0.372Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$31.60at 0.788Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 23:51 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.431957749 | $207.04 |
| 10-01 23:50 | Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | SELL | 0.85 | $213.75 |
| 10-01 00:36 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.4499999991 | $25.33 |
| 09-29 15:06 | Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | SELL | 0.2004541257 | $26.48 |
| 09-27 14:46 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.4 | $75.45 |
| 09-27 01:26 | Will Chicão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | BUY | 0.1355039871 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 01:25 | Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-24 12:01 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.3586206897 | $52.00 |
| 09-23 12:23 | Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | SELL | 0.8 | $200.72 |
| 09-23 00:54 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | SELL | 0.7670491318 | $155.50 |
| 09-22 14:47 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.3567914439 | $33.36 |
| 09-19 19:10 | Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.3485243479 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 12:27 | Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 00:46 | Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election? | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 14:58 | Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | SELL | 0.5860728561 | $64.51 |