Basado
0x1cd518d1253ac81cbc5d5c80fc707cbe27bd1406
- Realised P&L
- $16.84
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $135.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on October 5? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $45.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on October 5? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $45.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 7? · No | 0.993 | 0.990 | $44.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.075 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30? · No | 0.978 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.43at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 15?
- +$4.42at 0.831Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 29?
- +$3.90at 0.928Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?
- +$2.69at 0.963Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 28?
- +$2.06at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.9927055514 | $45.00 |
| 10-04 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $45.00 |
| 10-03 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on October 5? | BUY | 0.9988772475 | $45.00 |
| 10-03 09:59 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 4? | BUY | 0.9942955057 | $50.00 |
| 10-01 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 3? | BUY | 0.9811201127 | $44.00 |
| 10-01 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.994 | $45.00 |
| 09-30 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on October 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9679999996 | $18.00 |
| 09-29 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9983155823 | $70.00 |
| 09-28 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.9780439103 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.98990002 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 13:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.9083187737 | $55.11 |
| 09-27 09:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $50.00 |
| 09-27 09:04 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.8240667188 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9611437429 | $70.00 |