0x1Cd147D1dFD1f129409BDaCa9A543B217ea39c20-1730764125093
0x1cd147d1dfd1f129409bdaca9a543b217ea39c20
- Realised P&L
- $-15.0k
- Volume
- $292.7k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.200Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$734.99at 0.576Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$317.90at 0.382US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
- +$287.69at 0.065Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$269.23at 0.780US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 05:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 02:29 | Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3849758958 | $59.09 |
| 08-08 15:16 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0269999987 | $20.00 |
| 08-08 15:16 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $47.55 |
| 08-08 15:16 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $47.82 |
| 08-08 15:15 | Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | SELL | 0.1689855009 | $38.46 |
| 08-07 11:34 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 03:41 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4205707995 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 04:34 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? | SELL | 0.999 | $313.48 |
| 08-03 04:34 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $25.00 |
| 08-03 04:31 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.2692681246 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 04:29 | Tom Holland as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.4438933572 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 04:27 | Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.1968869207 | $42.01 |
| 08-03 04:27 | Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 07-16 11:05 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? | BUY | 0.6532894257 | $205.00 |