3444t4
0x1ccd80eb25f737f2dd6490f7626e9ed73bc907fc
- Realised P&L
- $-137.48
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 994
- Open portfolio
- $54.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded994
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.73at 0.738Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 4?
- +$14.34at 0.864Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or below on April 10?
- +$11.65at 0.856Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on April 27?
- +$11.52at 0.837Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 25?
- +$10.65at 0.881Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 09-26 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.09 |
| 09-26 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 16:23 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.91 |
| 09-26 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.09 |
| 09-26 14:26 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 09-26 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.14 |
| 09-26 08:49 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 09-26 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.99 |
| 09-26 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |