PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OnGodNoCap

0x1ccac8b3da72ff44bce936731c6364d44b27a1c3

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$2.7k$4.2k
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.002$261.06$177.64
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$57.07$218.39
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$48.44$62.28
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.024$47.00$1.00
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$43.75$56.25
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.002$37.50$150.47
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$24.00$35.86
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · No0.9000.974$23.80+$1.81
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.001$10.00$99.99
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0030.002$3.00$3.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$129.98
Spread: Rams (-3.5) · Rams0.5100.000$0.00$50.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$19.99
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025? · Yes0.5480.000$0.00$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 15:47Spread: Rams (-3.5)BUY0.5099999984$50.00
08-27 19:11Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.003$6.00
08-27 14:32Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.024$48.00
08-27 06:29Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.003$105.00
08-26 15:16Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.005$100.00
08-23 05:33Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.005$12.50
08-23 05:32Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.005$12.50
08-21 18:28Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$0.13
08-21 18:23Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.003$45.00
08-21 18:17Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$50.00
08-21 18:09Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$50.00
08-21 18:08Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$10.00
08-21 18:03Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.006$60.00
08-21 18:00Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.005$100.00
08-19 13:13Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.005$245.64