OnGodNoCap
0x1ccac8b3da72ff44bce936731c6364d44b27a1c3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.57at 0.693Will the Conservative Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
- +$75.00at 0.750Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$43.48at 0.920Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?
- +$7.05at 0.780Will TikTok be banned before July?
- +$4.82at 0.754Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 15:47 | Spread: Rams (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 19:11 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 08-27 14:32 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.024 | $48.00 |
| 08-27 06:29 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $105.00 |
| 08-26 15:16 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 05:33 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $12.50 |
| 08-23 05:32 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $12.50 |
| 08-21 18:28 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.13 |
| 08-21 18:23 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $45.00 |
| 08-21 18:17 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $50.00 |
| 08-21 18:09 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $50.00 |
| 08-21 18:08 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 18:03 | Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $60.00 |
| 08-21 18:00 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 13:13 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $245.64 |