aved
0x1cc2c1a54b1e86621b01009cb78104b3e9685003
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $169.4k
- Markets traded
- 372
- Open portfolio
- $643.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded372
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.298Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
- +$1.3kat 0.538Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.2kat 0.380Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 4.5 Corners
- +$1.1kat 0.460Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 5.5 Corners
- +$920.00at 0.540Mexico vs. Ecuador: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:32 | Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fishing" or "Fisherman" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska? | BUY | 0.7369543931 | $529.85 |
| 10-12 18:53 | Will Trump say "Steel" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.2141423153 | $121.94 |
| 10-01 13:17 | Will Trump say "Budget" during his rally in Oklahoma? | BUY | 0.3633421544 | $130.44 |
| 10-01 12:55 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" 5+ times during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | BUY | 0.315 | $126.82 |
| 08-29 11:36 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $304.61 |
| 08-26 21:29 | Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1515439194 | $568.14 |
| 08-25 22:45 | Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? | BUY | 0.09 | $71.85 |
| 08-25 22:21 | Will Ralph Norman win Richland County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff? | BUY | 0.0754526637 | $82.16 |
| 07-31 15:10 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.52125 | $125.10 |
| 07-31 14:49 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6080577299 | $382.97 |
| 07-31 14:46 | Will Trump say "Socialist" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5857224335 | $221.82 |
| 07-31 14:32 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.3375329567 | $179.23 |
| 07-31 14:00 | Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.3392646 | $169.63 |
| 07-29 16:39 | Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.27 | $213.23 |
| 07-29 12:23 | Will Warsh say "Good day" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.32 | $320.00 |