user136
0x1cc21f89530f984e814524d5e052e3bbd912273a
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $433.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.169 | 0.055 | $2.1k | −$4.4k |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$279.97 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 15:50 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.021289917 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 15:50 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0164968762 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 15:48 | Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0098917782 | $80.00 |
| 06-03 20:42 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $54.80 |
| 06-03 20:41 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $952.14 |
| 06-03 20:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $736.00 |
| 06-03 20:40 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $264.00 |
| 03-17 10:26 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.0k |
| 02-06 09:15 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699910551 | $7.6k |
| 02-06 08:55 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.1605341749 | $564.97 |