manimann
0x1cc11f46538482e735ac40f9463e5805e83a8b6d
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $840.21
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $57.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Storm Odalys strengthens to a hurricane? · Yes | 0.497 | 0.485 | $29.29 | −$0.71 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · Yes | 0.075 | 0.022 | $14.67 | −$35.33 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 2+ times during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.116 | $13.07 | −$11.93 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 19:55 | Will Trump say "Beautiful" 2+ times during his Ribbon Cutting Ceremony? | BUY | 0.2209597622 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 19:54 | Tropical Storm Odalys strengthens to a hurricane? | BUY | 0.4966887417 | $30.00 |
| 09-20 20:49 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.075 | $50.00 |