PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1cb8b57ac3d6cF6235d46e304F1AD224f3E8dE79-1761219785515

0x1cb8b57ac3d6cf6235d46e304f1ad224f3e8de79

Realised P&L
$-13.56
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$1.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4010.130$0.83$1.72
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3370.090$0.57$1.57
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8500.220$0.26$0.74
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.8300.115$0.14$0.86
Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5000.050$0.10$0.90
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.4300.022$0.05$0.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.9900.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 21? · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Maria Konnikova win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Justin Gavri win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Matt Salsberg win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.7600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-14 13:27Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.945$1.00
03-14 13:26Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.4505925926$0.61
03-14 13:26Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$0.46
01-09 12:23Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.997$1.19
01-03 14:34Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
01-03 14:34Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.84$1.00
01-03 14:32Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
01-03 14:32Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.849999915$1.00
01-03 14:32Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
01-03 14:31Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
01-03 14:31Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.00
01-03 14:31Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
01-03 14:31Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
12-29 16:51Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out before 2026?SELL0.99$8.95
12-29 16:50Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out before 2026?BUY0.995$9.00