0x1cb8b57ac3d6cF6235d46e304F1AD224f3E8dE79-1761219785515
0x1cb8b57ac3d6cf6235d46e304f1ad224f3e8de79
- Realised P&L
- $-13.56
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.21at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down on November 20?
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$0.96at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$0.19at 0.840Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.880Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-14 13:27 | Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.945 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 13:26 | Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4505925926 | $0.61 |
| 03-14 13:26 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.46 |
| 01-09 12:23 | Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.19 |
| 01-03 14:34 | Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:34 | Will Trove launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:32 | Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:32 | Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:32 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:31 | Will Titan launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:31 | Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:31 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 01-03 14:31 | Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 12-29 16:51 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out before 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.95 |
| 12-29 16:50 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out before 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.00 |