Mrhack210291
0x1cb63fd92efcaaf359ffdf301c40674b2ed793f6
- Realised P&L
- $-15.0k
- Volume
- $969.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,098
- Open portfolio
- $742.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,098
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 · No | 0.950 | 0.987 | $207.68 | +$7.68 |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? · No | 0.975 | 0.972 | $139.54 | −$0.46 |
| Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.740 | 0.920 | $124.32 | +$24.32 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by October 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.963 | $108.20 | +$8.20 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.954 | 1.000 | $104.80 | +$4.80 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.935 | $58.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.610 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$57.95 |
| US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina · Coco Gauff | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.646Will TikTok be banned again before May?
- +$1.7kat 0.670Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wu
- +$1.6kat 0.800Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$1.1kat 0.558 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.632Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:38 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9503147235 | $59.00 |
| 09-21 11:18 | Will Trump say "Bully" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6099999973 | $58.00 |
| 09-21 11:18 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.9537543498 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 11:17 | Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 15:54 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 15:53 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.976 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 03:49 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.979 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 03:47 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.95 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 16:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9678964535 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 20:07 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $118.00 |
| 09-11 01:05 | US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-09 05:25 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | SELL | 0.4 | $0.13 |
| 09-09 05:24 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | SELL | 0.4 | $133.20 |
| 09-09 03:51 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $280.00 |
| 09-09 02:31 | US Open WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro | BUY | 0.9299999998 | $295.51 |