max017590
0x1cb2fc143faac29f0fa6fff96e6870807876e324
- Realised P&L
- $374.19
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $174.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.966 | $48.43 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.987 | $47.51 | +$0.36 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · No | 0.965 | 0.919 | $46.31 | −$2.29 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · Yes | 0.974 | 0.980 | $32.09 | +$0.20 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June? · No | 0.981 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$396.24at 0.610Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indians
- +$1.67at 0.956Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.959Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.41at 0.962Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$1.38at 0.971Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 16:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.979 | $48.76 |
| 05-30 11:37 | Gujarat Titans vs. Mumbai Indians | BUY | 0.61 | $619.76 |