0x1ca801aa00228d7eaf196b580b8871f0c9ff5d3d
- Realised P&L
- $-8.76
- Volume
- $217.15
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $3.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.765 | $3.59 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.10at 0.695Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$-0.80at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$-1.76at 0.170Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 9?
- +$-10.68at 0.179Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999868 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.81 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999868 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999868 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 01:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $0.75 |
| 09-13 01:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998913 | $1.01 |
| 09-13 01:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $2.94 |
| 09-13 01:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999907 | $2.94 |
| 09-12 23:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8499999614 | $1.10 |
| 09-12 23:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.70 |