dbschenka
0x1c9f9db9f91bf0a31a67634b7f79f6424063b8ce
- Realised P&L
- $856.65
- Volume
- $137.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,061
- Open portfolio
- $61.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,061
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$459.01at 0.215Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
- +$449.64at 0.064Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
- +$401.02at 0.349Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
- +$394.74at 0.460Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?
- +$389.92at 0.428Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 11:00 | Will RNI win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 09-07 17:46 | Will Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi win the next Piura mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.12 |
| 09-05 17:25 | Will Sergio Meneguelli win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 09-04 14:27 | Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.02 |
| 09-04 10:37 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.01 |
| 09-03 19:41 | Will Donald Baxter win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.13 |
| 09-03 14:01 | Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 09-02 13:06 | Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year? | SELL | 0.145 | $2.90 |
| 09-02 09:18 | Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.63 | $12.60 |
| 09-02 01:23 | Will Linke win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.7 | $9.79 |
| 09-01 20:08 | Will Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.94 |
| 09-01 19:31 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 09-01 05:03 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.7501586043 | $47.30 |
| 09-01 04:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.358 | $17.90 |
| 08-31 18:11 | Will Linke win 40 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |