moyusandianban
0x1c96cb7d8af3c99b0efa9c0db4dbca7c9469eb98
- Realised P&L
- $0.50
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $200 in September? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.007 | $2.12 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.12at 0.993Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.018Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?
- +$-0.06at 0.999Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-3.30at 0.977Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:30 | Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.021 | $6.83 |
| 09-15 03:55 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $124.25 |
| 09-15 03:44 | Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.017 | $5.53 |
| 09-15 03:37 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.12 |
| 09-15 03:09 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.972 | $313.20 |
| 09-14 08:00 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.976 | $630.50 |
| 09-14 07:58 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.999 | $634.37 |
| 09-11 07:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $634.37 |