0x1c911910afe0cf9ce9747ef91f3b2d9a65dbedd8
0x1c911910afe0cf9ce9747ef91f3b2d9a65dbedd8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $746.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.62at 0.547Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$190.00at 0.729Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$144.91at 0.447Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$124.45at 0.119Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?
- +$39.67at 0.567Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 22:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.58969785 | $117.94 |
| 09-22 00:05 | Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | BUY | 0.79 | $118.50 |
| 09-21 17:48 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | BUY | 0.83 | $498.00 |
| 09-02 13:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7285715714 | $510.00 |
| 09-02 13:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $450.00 |
| 07-07 21:47 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5299999962 | $61.09 |
| 07-07 19:54 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.41 | $49.20 |
| 07-07 13:38 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-06 09:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.2296666667 | $34.45 |
| 07-06 06:31 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.3499999953 | $30.00 |
| 07-06 06:31 | Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.3499999953 | $30.00 |
| 07-05 22:38 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.43 | $12.90 |
| 07-05 22:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.22 | $13.20 |
| 07-05 22:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 07-05 22:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.32 | $30.00 |