PolyBot

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Traders

0x1c911910afe0cf9ce9747ef91f3b2d9a65dbedd8

0x1c911910afe0cf9ce9747ef91f3b2d9a65dbedd8

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$30.0k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$746.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.8300.830$498.00+$0.00
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? · Yes0.7900.905$135.75+$17.25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5900.561$112.30−$5.64
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$18.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.2930.000$0.00−$80.00
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$40.00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6? · Down0.3200.000$0.00−$30.00
Ukraine strike on Moscow before November? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Bitcoin hit $100k before Trump inauguration? · No0.5800.000$0.00−$79.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$450.00
Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6? · Down0.2300.000$0.00−$34.45
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$144.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 22:40Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.58969785$117.94
09-22 00:05Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?BUY0.79$118.50
09-21 17:48Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?BUY0.83$498.00
09-02 13:25Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7285715714$510.00
09-02 13:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$450.00
07-07 21:47Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5299999962$61.09
07-07 19:54Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.41$49.20
07-07 13:38Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.52$52.00
07-06 09:14S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 6?BUY0.2296666667$34.45
07-06 06:31Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.3499999953$30.00
07-06 06:31Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.3499999953$30.00
07-05 22:38Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.43$12.90
07-05 22:33S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?BUY0.22$13.20
07-05 22:33S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 6?BUY0.23$4.60
07-05 22:22SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?BUY0.32$30.00