PolyBot

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Traders

balloonie007

0x1c8e846d7ed52b8650c5cdac397c97ac2dab14ef

Realised P&L
$-18.05
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$26.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A · LGD Gaming0.6000.615$10.06+$0.25
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? · No0.5900.580$6.62−$0.11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.7100.715$5.04+$0.04
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.5300.525$4.85−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 04:38Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 1?SELL0.9900378332$11.51
10-01 01:12New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5SELL0.57$1.39
10-01 01:10New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5BUY0.618999852$1.51
10-01 00:16Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5)SELL0.03$0.38
09-30 22:24Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group ABUY0.6$9.81
09-30 21:27Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.5299999502$4.90
09-30 21:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999517$5.00
09-30 21:22Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5899999825$6.73
09-30 18:36W15 Nashville, TN: Margaret Sohns vs Astra SharmaBUY0.01$4.76
09-30 18:36W15 Nashville, TN: Margaret Sohns vs Astra SharmaBUY0.0099373695$4.76
09-30 18:36Games Total: O/U 2.5SELL0.2023518344$4.30
09-30 17:15Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BSELL0.25$4.30
09-30 16:47Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group BBUY0.5699999773$9.81
09-30 16:13Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerSELL0.993$12.58
09-30 15:40Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7799999937$9.89