balloonie007
0x1c8e846d7ed52b8650c5cdac397c97ac2dab14ef
- Realised P&L
- $-18.05
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $26.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A · LGD Gaming | 0.600 | 0.615 | $10.06 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.580 | $6.62 | −$0.11 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.715 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.525 | $4.85 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.57at 0.701Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B
- +$6.32at 0.759Will England win on 2026-09-29?
- +$2.59at 0.788Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
- +$2.25at 0.808Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
- +$1.51at 0.860Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 04:38 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.9900378332 | $11.51 |
| 10-01 01:12 | New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.57 | $1.39 |
| 10-01 01:10 | New York Red Bulls vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.618999852 | $1.51 |
| 10-01 00:16 | Spread: Montevideo City Torque (-1.5) | SELL | 0.03 | $0.38 |
| 09-30 22:24 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A | BUY | 0.6 | $9.81 |
| 09-30 21:27 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.5299999502 | $4.90 |
| 09-30 21:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 21:22 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999825 | $6.73 |
| 09-30 18:36 | W15 Nashville, TN: Margaret Sohns vs Astra Sharma | BUY | 0.01 | $4.76 |
| 09-30 18:36 | W15 Nashville, TN: Margaret Sohns vs Astra Sharma | BUY | 0.0099373695 | $4.76 |
| 09-30 18:36 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.2023518344 | $4.30 |
| 09-30 17:15 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | SELL | 0.25 | $4.30 |
| 09-30 16:47 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | BUY | 0.5699999773 | $9.81 |
| 09-30 16:13 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.993 | $12.58 |
| 09-30 15:40 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7799999937 | $9.89 |