doli2026
0x1c8aff5d0cd8e26ec0d3315691b9faed065bd7e7
- Realised P&L
- $-53.85
- Volume
- $29.9k
- Markets traded
- 242
- Open portfolio
- $116.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded242
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 27? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $29.98 | +$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C or higher on September 28? · No | 0.990 | 0.985 | $29.55 | −$0.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 28? · No | 0.960 | 0.970 | $29.09 | +$0.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27? · No | 0.970 | 0.935 | $28.05 | −$1.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.50at 0.388LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$20.50at 0.060LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$17.50at 0.330LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$15.84at 0.457LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$14.39at 0.500LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C or higher on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-26 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 09-26 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.97 | $29.10 |
| 09-26 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-26 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-25 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-25 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 09-25 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-25 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-24 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-24 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-24 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 09-24 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 09-24 00:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 09-23 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |