doli2026
0x1c8aff5d0cd8e26ec0d3315691b9faed065bd7e7
- Realised P&L
- $-82.70
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $31.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 8? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$0.39 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$0.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 9? · No | 0.980 | 0.994 | $4.97 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.220 | $1.10 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.50at 0.388LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$20.50at 0.060LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$17.50at 0.330LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- +$15.84at 0.457LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$14.40at 0.500LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-08 01:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 08-08 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-07 05:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 08-07 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 08-07 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 08-06 23:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.957 | $4.79 |
| 08-06 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-06 23:54 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 08-06 23:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 08-06 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-06 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-06 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C or higher on August 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 08-06 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |