nelabatito
0x1c85b55e65dc9f8bcc14c04d8ca3236ebb20c557
- Realised P&L
- $-39.71
- Volume
- $670.00
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $5.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.019 | $3.61 | −$11.59 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.023 | $2.30 | −$7.70 |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.43at 0.880Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$0.45at 0.700Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 20:38 | Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 20:36 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.73 | $10.95 |
| 07-25 20:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $15.30 |
| 07-25 20:33 | Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.20 |
| 07-25 20:32 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 20:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.9908185 | $39.63 |
| 07-25 01:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.50 |
| 07-25 01:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |